6 Aug · 20:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jirka
ELO 1564
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jirka
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1450
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Jirka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)