6 Aug · 22:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1421
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1484
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 66% (76)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H35-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-15)