6 Aug · 23:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Barsa
ELO 1547
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Barsa
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1421
FormLWLWL
60%
40%
🌟Dusek goes over total as underdog 66% (76)
Fair odds · Barsa
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)