6 Aug · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1549
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cizek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1514
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Travnicek🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (29)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H9-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.