6 Aug · 19:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1592
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kowal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1573
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vicherek🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 77% (39)
Fair odds · Kowal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H22-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.