6 Aug · 21:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1532
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1563
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.