6 Aug · 21:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1457
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Barsa
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Barsa
ELO 1547
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vich🌟Vich covers set handicap as underdog 63% (78)
Fair odds · Barsa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H9-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)