6 Aug · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇨🇿Petr Kubat
ELO 1379
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cousin
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1450
FormLLLLL
44%
56%
🌟Kubat covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)