06 Aug · 16:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1509
1-3Final setsKos won
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1483
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Zapala at 51%. The actual result was Pawel Kos 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Krzysztof Zapala favoured — closing 1.7
Set handicap
Krzysztof Zapala −1.5 sets
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Zapala is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kos.
▲ Krzysztof Zapalapre 47% → final 11%
Pawel Kos ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsKos recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games