06 Aug · 19:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1634
3-0Final setsDuch won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1629
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 51%. The actual result was Adam Duch 3-0 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.8
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Duch is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Adam Duchpre 55% → final 95%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts55 points · 3 games