6 Aug · 22:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1503
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1629
FormLLWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H58-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-39)