7 Aug · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1556
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1575
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.