7 Aug · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1591
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Macurak
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1588
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 63% (54)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.