7 Aug · 07:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1460
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sturma
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1454
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (52)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.