7 Aug · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1540
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mandrysz
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1460
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Sturma covers set handicap as underdog 75% (55)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H28-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-25)