7 Aug · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1616
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skvrna
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1537
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fojtik🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 74% (34)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)