7 Aug · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1540
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mandrysz
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1454
FormWLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)