7 Aug · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1556
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1588
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H36-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.