7 Aug · 10:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1423
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stefek
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1454
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.