7 Aug · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1537
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1556
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fojtik🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 74% (34)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H11-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.