7 Aug · 08:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1588
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krupnik
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1546
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (58)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H25-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.