7 Aug · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1616
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1556
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (104)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H37-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-29)