7 Aug · 14:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1556
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Joksch
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1555
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Joksch
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.