7 Aug · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1556
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1630
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)