7 Aug · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1587
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1639
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Zacharda goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.