7 Aug · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1690
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kocab
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1587
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🌟Zacharda goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H13-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)