7 Aug · 14:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1630
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1618
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H17-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.