7 Aug · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1672
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Benak
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1587
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zacharda🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (26)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)