7 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1563
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kos
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1561
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H15-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.