7 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LB
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1574
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Buklat
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1569
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Buklat
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H39-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.