7 Aug · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1558
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1597
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H18-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.