7 Aug · 21:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1607
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vicherek
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1553
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zaskodny🌟Vicherek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (31)
Fair odds · Vicherek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.