7 Aug · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1532
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1577
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fojtik🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 74% (34)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.