7 Aug · 15:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1627
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chaloupka
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1577
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H30-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.