7 Aug · 21:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1515
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Martin
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1514
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Vidourek goes over total as underdog 71% (17)
Fair odds · Martin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.