7 Aug · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1553
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sikora
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1619
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zaskodny🌟Sikora rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (49)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)