7 Aug · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1504
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kanak
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1410
FormWLWLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vanous🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 14% (14)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)