7 Aug · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1405
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1471
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ogrocki🌟Ogrocki stays under total as underdog 68% (41)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)