7 Aug · 17:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1577
FormLWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Moravec
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1717
FormWWWWW
39%
61%
🌟Kleprlik covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+140
H2H33-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-27)