7 Aug · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1532
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1623
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H95-83
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (95-83)