7 Aug · 21:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1410
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Henzel
MH
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1492
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Henzel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)