7 Aug · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1751
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1820
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vesecky🌟Vesecky covers set handicap as underdog 65% (83)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H25-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-23)