7 Aug · 21:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1376
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Hons
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1498
FormWLLWL
40%
60%
⚡ Cover lean · Hons🌟Hons covers set handicap as favourite 63% (19)
Fair odds · Hons
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)