7 Aug · 20:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1511
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1672
FormWWWLW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc🌟Stusek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (80)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+161
H2H77-69
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+161)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-69)