7 Aug · 19:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1661
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Niezgoda
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1607
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 77% (39)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H33-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.