7 Aug · 16:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1554
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hendrych
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1470
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H16-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-14)