7 Aug · 20:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1492
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Henzel
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1471
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Skvor covers set handicap as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Henzel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.