7 Aug · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1504
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kanak
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1471
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvor🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 14% (14)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.