7 Aug · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jnr
ELO 1481
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jnr
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1437
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.