07 Aug · 14:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1485
3-2Final setsKos won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1609
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 56%. The actual result was Pawel Kos 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.52
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −4.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kos is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Pawel Kospre 47% → final 76%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsKos recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games